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Libertarian Republican #315

IRAN AND THE NUKE.
 
Does Iran want nuclear weapons?
 
Yes, but with qualifications.
 
I think they would use them for defensive purposes.
 
I do not think Iran would give them to Terrorists.
 
From what I have read on the subject, nuclear weapons are not easily transportable or mobile.
 
If Iran were to announce that they had nuclear weapons then our major partners might cut Iran off altogether.
 
We might not attack Iran, but we would isolate them even further.
 
Iran is surrounded by US Forces on 3 sides and they have for the most part been quiet since Iraq 2 has started.
 
Have they cooperated on issues related to the Middle East?
 
Has Bush pushed them into a corner with his bullying way?
Are those good enough questions to digest?
 
Is Israel going to attack Iran?
 
It could be done, but the logistics would be complicated.
 
Iran and the MOSSAD (Israeli Secret Service) cooperate behind the scenes.  Although I do not know how widely.
 
Israel makes the Arab Nations and Iran work together for public relations purposes.
 
Arabs and Persians have been rivals for centuries.
 
Iran with a nuke would lead a few Arab nations to consider getting nuclear weapons.
 
The Islamic Republic of Arabia would be a good bet for nukes.
 
Israel will pursue its own national interest if it destroy's these nuclear facilities.
 
The issue is how much death and destruction in terms of radiation within Iran the Israelis are willing to be responsible for in the aftermath of bombing Iran plus what Iran would do in retaliation.
 
Ehud Olmert may be following an old rule in politics.
 
If domestic affairs is bad then draw public attention to foreign affairs.  If foreign affairs is bad then draw public attention to domestic affairs.
 
In essence, in Israel's case the element of logistics may impede an attack on Iran, but a show of strength allows them to maintain a tuff image in international relations.
 
Just a theory mind you, but Israel lives in a dangerous neighborhood.  This time, however, they may have too settle for realpolitik.
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