Posted by
Tim Blessing on Friday, February 08, 2008 7:57:31 PM
The Democrats look like they are split right down the middle on their two candidates.
In such a situation, the super delegates will decide the nominee.
That mean's it will be like the 1976 Republican Convention in terms of its internal bitterness.
Ford won the nomination at great political cost and went on to lose the general election.
Reagan's followers did not work for Ford because he was different from them.
Reagan's followers were true believers, which is similar to Obama's followers.
Its an intensity that can't be transferred, which mean's Hillary get's the nomination because of the Super Delegates. Then lose's the general election because Obama's followers won't follow her.
If Obama win's the nomination then the Democrat Establisment will not provide logistics and money. The Party apparatus.
This played out in 1980, the campaigns of Ted Kennedy and Jimmy Carter went to the convention and Carter lost the general election.
It happened in 1968, when Humphrey and Eugene McCarthy went through it.
So there are historical parallels although the issues animating each campaign were different.